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07/29/2010 - San Diego, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Pinch-hitter Oscar Salazar singled home the winning run in the bottom of the ninth inning, and the San Diego Padres posted a 3-2 victory over Los Angeles in the rubber match of a three-game series at Petco Park.
George Sherrill (1-2) came on to pitch the ninth for the Dodgers, and Scott Hairston greeted him with a single to left field. Tony Gwynn Jr. sacrificed the runner to second, and Salazar followed by delivering a grounder up the middle to plate the decisive run.
Salazar's heroics made a winner out of Heath Bell (5-0), who tossed a 1-2-3 ninth.
Chase Headley and Yorvit Torrealba both knocked in a run for the NL West- leading Padres, who acquired former AL MVP Miguel Tejada from Baltimore before the game. Mat Latos earned a no-decision after giving up two runs -- one earned -- on two hits and three walks in five innings of work. He fanned seven.
James Loney homered for the Dodgers, while starter Vicente Padilla allowed two runs on four hits over four innings.
The Padres grabbed a 1-0 lead in the first inning on a run-scoring single by Headley, but Loney's eighth home run of the season tied the game in the second.
San Diego regained the lead in the fourth when Headley walked to begin the inning and came home on a double by Torrealba.
Latos, though, ran into trouble in the fifth, walking two of the first three batters. Pinch-hitter Garret Anderson then singled to left field, and Jamey Carroll was able to score the tying run after Hairston misplayed the ball.
Game Notes
Torrealba extended his hitting streak to 12 games...San Diego improved to 32-20 at home...Adrian Gonzalez had two hits for the Padres...Los Angeles was limited to three hits in the game.
<< Bowditch, Thompson share lead in Nebraska
Omaha, NE (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Steven Bowditch and Kyle Thompson fired rounds of
eight-under 63 Thursday to share the lead after one round of the Cox Classic.
Bowditch claimed his lone tour win in his homeland of Australia at the 2005
Jacob
<< Bengals make Owens signing official
Georgetown, KY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Cincinnati Bengals officially brought
controversial wide receiver Terrell Owens into the fold on Thursday, signing a
previously reported one-year contract.
It was reported earlier that the deal is
<< Giants waive injured S Jones
East Rutherford, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New York Giants have waived rookie
safety Chad Jones with the intention of placing him on the reserve list.
Jones was recently released from a New York hospital after a serious car
accident
<< Compton, Every share Greenbrier lead
White Sulphur Springs, WV (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Erik Compton, the two-time heart
transplant recipient, fired a seven-under 63 Thursday to share the first-round
lead with Matt Every at The Greenbrier Classic.
Playing on another sponsor's exem
After Oswalt acquisition, Phillies win eighth straight >>
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Wilson Valdez helped Philadelphia
celebrate its acquisition of pitcher Roy Oswalt with a game-winning RBI single
in the bottom of the 11th inning, as the Phillies completed a three-game sweep
and won
Nationals send Capps to Twins for Ramos >>
Washington, DC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Washington Nationals have traded
closer Matt Capps to the Minnesota Twins in exchange for highly
regarded catcher prospect Wilson Ramos.
Additionally the Nationals will also r
Cobourne, Als crush Argonauts >>
Montreal, QC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Avon Cobourne racked up 231 total yards and
scored a pair of rushing touchdowns ,as the Montreal Alouettes trounced the
Toronto Argonauts, 41-10, at McGill Stadium.
Cobourne rushed for 115 yards on 20 ca
Castro leads home run parade as ChiSox extended home win streak >>
Chicago, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ramon Castro homered twice and Juan Pierre
stroked a two-run double, as the Chicago White Sox beat Seattle, 9-5, to sweep
a four-game series and extend their home winning streak to 11 games.
Paul Konerko
Underdog bettors love the Super Bowl and, history suggests, the underdogs love them back. And the big dogs bite harder.
Even so, there is a warning in store for Super Bowl gamblers who must love dogs: The Arizona Cardinals Super Bowl betting lines might not be enough of a Cinderella to make it worth your while.
Although the Cardinals were widely panned as one of the worst division winners and least playoff-worthy teams in recent memory, their trip to Super Bowl XLIII Jan. 31 in Tampa against the Pittsburgh Steelers Super Bowl betting lines comes with a little more respect from the oddsmakers than you might imagine. They are a 7-point underdog at most sports books.
If you count yourself among those who covet the big dog in the big game, this isn’t exactly great news. You should have been hoping for more points. This is because the facts show that the bigger the dog, the better the bet in the Super Bowl.
Case in point: Over the past 13 seasons, double-figure underdogs in the Super Bowl are 4-0-1 ATS and have won the past three outright. In fact, the last double-digit chalk to do the deed for bettors was the 1995 San Francisco 49ers, who managed to beat the astounding 19-point spot afforded backers of the San Diego Chargers in the 49-26 romp in Super Bowl XXIX.
By contrast, 7-point favorites are 2-1-1 ATS in the same span, the last such contest resulting a cover grinded out by the Colts in their 29-17 win over the Bears two seasons ago in Super Bowl XLI.
In 2004, the Patriots failed to cover the number in their 32-29 triumph over the Carolina Panthers in Super Bowl props while the Rams and Titans gave everyone a refund in 2000 after the Rams posted a 23-16 win as a seven-point favorite.
So while Arizona’s run has included impressive upsets as a 10-point road underdog to the Carolina Panthers and Sunday’s 32-25 win in the NFC championship game to the 4-point favored Philadelphia Eagles, their long-shot story lacks a bit of the David vs. Goliath storyline of past Super Bowl underdogs.
While the seven-point spread represents a significant gap in the perception of strength between the two teams, it is far from monumental. For example, last season the Giants were the wild-card afterthought turned road-warrior buzzsaw, with stunning wins over the Buccaneers, Cowboys and Packers to earn their place in the Super Bowl.
There, they played spoiler to New England’s bid to become the first 19-0 team in NFL history and cemented their place in sports betting lore with a 17-14 win as a 12.5-point underdog.
In other words, the Cardinals appear to have their work cut out for them as a mid-range underdog. But in homage to the spread beaters who have come before them, here is a brief look back at recent colossal upsets in the Super Bowl:
SB XLII -- 2008 -- New York Giants 17, New England Patriots 14 (Giants +12.5) – Eli Manning’s 13-yard touchdown pass to Plaxico Burress in the final minute clinched the historic upset for the Giants, who used a masterful defensive plan to slow down Tom Brady and the previously undefeated New England Patriots.
XXXVI -- 2002 -- Patriots 20, Rams 17 (Patriots +14) – This was the coming out party for the aforementioned Brady, who went from obscure sixth-round draft pick to Super Bowl hero in one fell swoop. He led the game-winning drive in the final minute – eschewing analyst John Madden’s advice to take a knee and play for overtime – leading to Adam Vinatieri’s memorable 48-yard field goal that split the uprights as time expired.
XXXII 1998 Broncos 31, Packers 24 (Denver +12) – The first of John Elway’s two consecutive Super Bowl titles to put an end to his Hall of Fame career was an upset for the ages. The Broncos used the determination of Elway and a 157-yard, three-touchdown performance from Terrell Davis to turn back Brett Favre and the heavily favored Packers.
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The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.
While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.
For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.
1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.
2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.
How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.
Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.
Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.
How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).
Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.
Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.
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