U.S. searching for right mix against Dutch

Soccer Betting Lines

03/02/2010 - Amsterdam, Netherlands (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - U.S. coach Bob Bradley assembled the majority of his best players for Wednesday's match at the Netherlands, and the last few spots on the World Cup roster could be decided at Amsterdam ArenA.

The Americans snapped a three-game losing streak last week with a 2-1 win over El Salvador, but the score isn't the most important aspect of the game against the Dutch for Bradley.

Bradley left injured trio Charlie Davies, Clint Dempsey and Oguchi Onyewu off the roster and the potential holes those three could leave open if not healthy in time for the World Cup are Bradley's biggest concerns.

"There's always pressure on the coach," Bradley said.

Although the U.S. roster features 16 European-based players, three MLS players - Jonathan Bornstein, Heath Pearce and Robbie Findley - could benefit the most with strong performances.

Bornstein of Chivas USA and Pearce of FC Dallas are both in competition for a role on defense, where left back would be open if captain Carlos Bocanegra has to move into the middle to replace Onyewu.

Real Salt Lake forward Findley could find a role if Davies is not able to come back from a car accident that left the emerging star with multiple injuries.

Dempsey avoided surgery on a knee injury and is the most likely of the trio to feature in the World Cup, but Onyweu is a longshot to return from knee surgery and Davies - although he is making huge strides in recovery - needs a miracle.

Bradley is confident the U.S. will put together a team capable of competing in South Africa, whether he has all - or none - of the injured players back.

"We're confident that we're going to get a really strong group, a group that will have a great mentality and a group that's going to go and give it all a great shot," Bradley said.

The Dutch, ranked third in the world, are usually overlooked as contenders due to their recent World Cup struggles. The Netherlands advanced to the final in 1974 and 1978, but its best finish since was fourth in 1998.

Dirk Kuyt, Arjen Robben and Wesley Sneijder highlight one of the most exciting offenses in the world, but the Oranje have not scored a goal in three straight matches.

The Dutch will give Bradley exactly what the U.S. needs, though, and that's a test for his best players, and a way to separate the final contenders for the remaining roster spots for the Cup.

Following is the complete U.S. roster:

Goalkeepers: Brad Guzan (Aston Villa), Marcus Hahnemann (Wolverhampton), Tim Howard (Everton).

Defenders: Jonathan Bornstein (Chivas USA), Carlos Bocanegra (Rennes), Jay DeMerit (Watford), Clarence Goodson (IK Start), Heath Pearce (FC Dallas), Frank Simek (Sheffield Wednesday), Jonathan Spector (West Ham).

Midfielders: DaMarcus Beasley (Rangers), Alejandro Bedoya (Orebro), Michael Bradley (Monchengladbach), Landon Donovan (Everton), Maurice Edu (Rangers), Stuart Holden (Bolton), Jose Torres (Pachuca).

Forwards: Jozy Altidore (Hull City), Robbie Findley (Real Salt Lake), Eddie Johnson (Aris Thessaloniki).

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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

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